Jonathan Ochshorn
Predicting condensation within a wall is complicated; the example linked below is quite simplistic, as is doesn't account for all sorts of phenomena, including the ability of wet areas to dry out, or the movement of air within the wall itself, which can transport vapor in unexpected ways, or the complex hygrothermal behavior of specific materials. Nevertheless, it may provide some insight into why condensation — when it does occur — does occur.
| concrete | 3.2 perm-in.** |
| brick, 4" thick | 0.8 |
| concrete block, 8" thick | 2.4 |
| glazed tile masonry, 4" thick | 0.12 |
| plaster on metal lath, 3/4" thick | 15 |
| plaster on wood lath, 3/4" thick | 11 |
| gypsum board, unpainted | 50 |
| gypsum board, latex paint | 2-3 |
| plywood with exterior glue | 0.7 |
| polyethylene, 6 mil | 0.06 |
| air, still | 120 perm-in.** |
| RCPS insulation (EPS) | 2.0-5.8 perm-in.** |
| RCPS insulation (XPS) | 1.2 perm-in.** |
| aluminum foil | 0.001 |